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Will it freeze in Salamanca in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 32°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 30°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Salamanca
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Salamanca 2. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 15 · May 31 · Jun 15 | Sep 5 · Sep 20 · Oct 2 | 111 days |
| 32°F freeze | May 2 · May 18 · Jun 1 | Sep 19 · Oct 1 · Oct 12 | 135 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 20 · May 5 · May 23 | Sep 30 · Oct 11 · Oct 25 | 157 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Salamanca 2
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Salamanca, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Salamanca 2 (station USC00307400, elevation 1,415 ft), 0.9 mi from Salamanca. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Salamanca
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford, PA | 15 mi | May 18 | Oct 4 |
| Olean, NY | 16 mi | May 7 | Oct 11 |
| Jamestown, NY | 27 mi | May 8 | Oct 13 |
| Warren, PA | 31 mi | May 4 | Oct 21 |
| Fredonia, NY | 37 mi | Apr 25 | Nov 1 |
| Dunkirk, NY | 38 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 23 |
| Hamburg, NY | 39 mi | May 4 | Oct 17 |
| East Aurora, NY | 42 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Lackawanna, NY | 45 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 26 |
| Alfred, NY | 48 mi | May 18 | Oct 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Salamanca?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Salamanca is around May 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after June 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after May 2.
When is the first frost in Salamanca?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 19 and a 90% chance by October 12.
Can it frost in Salamanca after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 31.
What growing zone is Salamanca?
Salamanca is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 14748. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze