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Will it freeze in Newark in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 32°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 43°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 32°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Newark
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Geneva Rsch Farm. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 27 · May 10 · May 23 | Sep 27 · Oct 7 · Oct 22 | 150 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 17 · Apr 30 · May 12 | Oct 4 · Oct 21 · Nov 4 | 173 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 17 · May 1 | Oct 18 · Nov 2 · Nov 14 | 198 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Geneva Rsch Farm
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Newark, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Geneva Rsch Farm (station USC00303184, elevation 718 ft), 12 mi from Newark. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Newark
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Geneva, NY | 14 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Canandaigua, NY | 14 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| Fairport, NY | 18 mi | May 2 | Oct 17 |
| East Rochester, NY | 21 mi | May 2 | Oct 17 |
| Webster, NY | 21 mi | May 1 | Oct 20 |
| Penn Yan, NY | 27 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 22 |
| Auburn, NY | 28 mi | May 2 | Oct 18 |
| Rochester, NY | 28 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 25 |
| Baldwinsville, NY | 39 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| Fulton, NY | 39 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Newark?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Newark is around April 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 12, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 17.
When is the first frost in Newark?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Newark after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 10.
What growing zone is Newark?
Newark is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 14513. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze