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Will it freeze in Canandaigua in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Canandaigua during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 43°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Canandaigua
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Canandaigua 3 S. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 27 · May 8 · May 23 | Sep 28 · Oct 9 · Oct 23 | 154 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 29 · May 12 | Oct 6 · Oct 22 · Nov 6 | 175 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 16 · Apr 30 | Oct 19 · Nov 4 · Nov 18 | 199 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Canandaigua 3 S
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Canandaigua, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Canandaigua 3 S (station USC00301152, elevation 720 ft), 3.0 mi from Canandaigua. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Canandaigua
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newark, NY | 14 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Geneva, NY | 15 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Fairport, NY | 17 mi | May 2 | Oct 17 |
| East Rochester, NY | 19 mi | May 2 | Oct 17 |
| Penn Yan, NY | 19 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 22 |
| Webster, NY | 24 mi | May 1 | Oct 20 |
| Rochester, NY | 26 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 25 |
| Geneseo, NY | 27 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 17 |
| Auburn, NY | 36 mi | May 2 | Oct 18 |
| Hilton, NY | 38 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 30 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Canandaigua?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Canandaigua is around April 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 12, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Canandaigua?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 6 and a 90% chance by November 6.
Can it frost in Canandaigua after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 8.
What growing zone is Canandaigua?
Canandaigua is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 14424. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze