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Will it freeze in Auburn in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Auburn during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Auburn
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Auburn. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 13 · May 29 | Sep 23 · Oct 5 · Oct 20 | 144 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 20 · May 2 · May 18 | Oct 3 · Oct 18 · Nov 2 | 166 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 7 · Apr 22 · May 7 | Oct 14 · Nov 1 · Nov 13 | 192 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Auburn
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Auburn, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Auburn (station USC00300321, elevation 770 ft), 1.1 mi from Auburn. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Auburn
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwinsville, NY | 19 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| Solvay, NY | 20 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Geneva, NY | 22 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Syracuse, NY | 22 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| North Syracuse, NY | 26 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Fulton, NY | 27 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 24 |
| Newark, NY | 28 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Cortland, NY | 30 mi | May 7 | Oct 8 |
| Penn Yan, NY | 31 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 22 |
| Ithaca, NY | 34 mi | May 11 | Oct 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Auburn?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Auburn is around May 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 20.
When is the first frost in Auburn?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 18. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 3 and a 90% chance by November 2.
Can it frost in Auburn after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 13.
What growing zone is Auburn?
Auburn is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 13024. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · UV index today in Auburn · frost vs. freeze