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Will it freeze in Solvay in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Solvay during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Solvay
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Syracuse Hancock Intl Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 26 · May 8 · May 23 | Sep 24 · Oct 5 · Oct 21 | 149 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 29 · May 13 | Oct 2 · Oct 19 · Nov 4 | 173 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 16 · Apr 30 | Oct 16 · Nov 2 · Nov 16 | 200 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Syracuse Hancock Intl Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Solvay, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Syracuse Hancock Intl Airport (station USW00014771, elevation 413 ft), 6.6 mi from Solvay. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Solvay
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse, NY | 3.7 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| North Syracuse, NY | 6.8 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Baldwinsville, NY | 9.3 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| Auburn, NY | 20 mi | May 2 | Oct 18 |
| Fulton, NY | 21 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 24 |
| Oneida, NY | 27 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Oswego, NY | 31 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 29 |
| Cortland, NY | 32 mi | May 7 | Oct 8 |
| Rome, NY | 39 mi | May 6 | Oct 13 |
| Geneva, NY | 41 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Solvay?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Solvay is around April 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 13, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Solvay?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 2 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Solvay after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 8.
What growing zone is Solvay?
Solvay is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 13219. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze