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Will it freeze in Oneida in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 31°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 31°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oneida
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Utica Oneida County Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 13 · May 30 | Sep 19 · Oct 1 · Oct 16 | 140 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 19 · May 1 · May 17 | Sep 29 · Oct 13 · Nov 1 | 164 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 20 · May 5 | Oct 8 · Oct 27 · Nov 11 | 188 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Utica Oneida County Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oneida, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Utica Oneida County Airport (station USW00094794, elevation 711 ft), 15 mi from Oneida. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oneida
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rome, NY | 14 mi | May 6 | Oct 13 |
| Utica, NY | 22 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| North Syracuse, NY | 24 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Syracuse, NY | 24 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Solvay, NY | 27 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Ilion, NY | 32 mi | May 5 | Oct 4 |
| Baldwinsville, NY | 34 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| Herkimer, NY | 34 mi | May 5 | Oct 4 |
| Norwich, NY | 38 mi | May 13 | Oct 4 |
| Fulton, NY | 42 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oneida?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oneida is around May 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 19.
When is the first frost in Oneida?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 29 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Oneida after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 13.
What growing zone is Oneida?
Oneida is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 13421. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze