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Will it freeze in Fulton in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 28°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 35°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 28°F Hard freeze · Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fulton
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Fulton. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 25 · May 7 · May 21 | Sep 25 · Oct 7 · Oct 27 | 153 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 27 · May 9 | Oct 4 · Oct 24 · Nov 8 | 180 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 14 · Apr 26 | Oct 18 · Nov 5 · Nov 19 | 204 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Fulton
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fulton, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Fulton (station USC00303087, elevation 360 ft), 1.6 mi from Fulton. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fulton
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oswego, NY | 11 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 29 |
| Baldwinsville, NY | 12 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| North Syracuse, NY | 19 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Solvay, NY | 21 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Syracuse, NY | 24 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Auburn, NY | 27 mi | May 2 | Oct 18 |
| Newark, NY | 39 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Oneida, NY | 42 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Geneva, NY | 42 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Rome, NY | 47 mi | May 6 | Oct 13 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fulton?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fulton is around April 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Fulton?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by November 8.
Can it frost in Fulton after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 7.
What growing zone is Fulton?
Fulton is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 13069. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze