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Will it freeze in El Paso in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in El Paso during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 50°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 52°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in El Paso
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at El Paso Intl Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 28 · Mar 18 · Apr 5 | Oct 28 · Nov 10 · Nov 23 | 233 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 12 · Mar 2 · Mar 19 | Nov 6 · Nov 20 · Dec 2 | 261 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 25 · Feb 16 · Mar 7 | Nov 15 · Dec 1 · Dec 17 | 286 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at El Paso Intl Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for El Paso, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: El Paso Intl Airport (station USW00023044, elevation 3,918 ft), 4.1 mi from El Paso. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near El Paso
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunland Park, NM | 9.9 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 11 |
| Anthony, NM | 15 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 20 |
| Socorro, TX | 17 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Horizon City, TX | 18 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| San Elizario, TX | 21 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 6 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 39 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 13 |
| Alamogordo, NM | 76 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 18 |
| Deming, NM | 83 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 3 |
| Truth or Consequences, NM | 108 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 9 |
| Ruidoso, NM | 113 mi | May 11 | Oct 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in El Paso?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in El Paso is around March 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 19, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 12.
When is the first frost in El Paso?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 6 and a 90% chance by December 2.
Can it frost in El Paso after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 18.
What growing zone is El Paso?
El Paso is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 79904. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in El Paso · frost vs. freeze