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Will it freeze in Truth or Consequences in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Truth or Consequences during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 41°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Truth or Consequences
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 19, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Truth Or Consequence Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 21 · Apr 7 · Apr 25 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 12 | 205 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 4 · Mar 22 · Apr 10 | Oct 27 · Nov 9 · Nov 22 | 230 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 13 · Mar 4 · Mar 26 | Nov 4 · Nov 19 · Dec 2 | 257 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Truth Or Consequence Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Truth or Consequences, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Truth Or Consequence Airport (station USW00093045, elevation 4,850 ft), 0.5 mi from Truth or Consequences. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Truth or Consequences
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Socorro, NM | 60 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Silver City, NM | 66 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 8 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 69 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 13 |
| Deming, NM | 73 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 3 |
| Alamogordo, NM | 80 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 18 |
| Ruidoso, NM | 93 mi | May 11 | Oct 5 |
| Anthony, NM | 93 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 20 |
| Sunland Park, NM | 106 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 11 |
| El Paso, TX | 108 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Belen, NM | 109 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 21 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Truth or Consequences?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Truth or Consequences is around March 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 4.
When is the first frost in Truth or Consequences?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 27 and a 90% chance by November 22.
Can it frost in Truth or Consequences after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 7.
What growing zone is Truth or Consequences?
Truth or Consequences is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 87935. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · frost vs. freeze