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Will it freeze in Alamogordo in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Alamogordo during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 42°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Alamogordo
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 29, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Alamogordo. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 8 · Mar 25 · Apr 10 | Oct 25 · Nov 8 · Nov 21 | 224 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 18 · Mar 9 · Mar 31 | Nov 3 · Nov 18 · Dec 3 | 251 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 26 · Feb 18 · Mar 17 | Nov 14 · Nov 29 · Dec 14 | 280 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Alamogordo
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Alamogordo, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Alamogordo (station USC00290199, elevation 4,380 ft), 2.4 mi from Alamogordo. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Alamogordo
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ruidoso, NM | 37 mi | May 11 | Oct 5 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 62 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 13 |
| Anthony, NM | 71 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 20 |
| El Paso, TX | 76 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Truth or Consequences, NM | 80 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 9 |
| Sunland Park, NM | 82 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 11 |
| Horizon City, TX | 85 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Socorro, TX | 88 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Artesia, NM | 89 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
| Roswell, NM | 89 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 30 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Alamogordo?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Alamogordo is around March 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 18.
When is the first frost in Alamogordo?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 18. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 3.
Can it frost in Alamogordo after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 25.
What growing zone is Alamogordo?
Alamogordo is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 88311. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · UV index today in Alamogordo · frost vs. freeze