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Will it freeze in Deming in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Deming during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Deming
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Deming. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 7 · Apr 23 · May 7 | Oct 13 · Oct 25 · Nov 5 | 184 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 7 · Apr 25 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 15 | 208 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 16 · Apr 9 | Oct 29 · Nov 13 · Nov 26 | 237 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Deming
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Deming, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Deming (station USC00292436, elevation 4,300 ft), 0.7 mi from Deming. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Deming
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silver City, NM | 47 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 8 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 57 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 13 |
| Anthony, NM | 70 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 20 |
| Truth or Consequences, NM | 73 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 9 |
| Sunland Park, NM | 74 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 11 |
| El Paso, TX | 83 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Socorro, TX | 98 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| San Elizario, TX | 99 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 6 |
| Horizon City, TX | 100 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
| Alamogordo, NM | 112 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Deming?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Deming is around April 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 25, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 20.
When is the first frost in Deming?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 15.
Can it frost in Deming after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 23.
What growing zone is Deming?
Deming is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 88030. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · frost vs. freeze