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Will it freeze in Silver City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Silver City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Silver City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 19, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ft Bayard. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 4 · Apr 20 · May 5 | Oct 15 · Oct 28 · Nov 11 | 189 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 14 · Apr 4 · Apr 22 | Oct 23 · Nov 8 · Nov 24 | 216 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 12 · Apr 6 | Nov 2 · Nov 19 · Dec 5 | 247 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ft Bayard
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Silver City, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ft Bayard (station USC00293265, elevation 6,099 ft), 7.0 mi from Silver City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Silver City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deming, NM | 47 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 3 |
| Truth or Consequences, NM | 66 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 9 |
| Safford, AZ | 83 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 9 |
| Thatcher, AZ | 87 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 9 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 92 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 13 |
| Anthony, NM | 111 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 20 |
| Sunland Park, NM | 117 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 11 |
| Socorro, NM | 118 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Douglas, AZ | 121 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 13 |
| El Paso, TX | 125 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 20 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Silver City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Silver City is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 14.
When is the first frost in Silver City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 23 and a 90% chance by November 24.
Can it frost in Silver City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 20.
What growing zone is Silver City?
Silver City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 88065. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · frost vs. freeze