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Will it freeze in Socorro in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Socorro during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 41°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Socorro
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Socorro. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 15 · Apr 29 · May 13 | Oct 2 · Oct 14 · Oct 27 | 168 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 16 · May 1 | Oct 11 · Oct 25 · Nov 5 | 191 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 13 · Mar 31 · Apr 17 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 15 | 215 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Socorro
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Socorro, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Socorro (station USC00298387, elevation 4,593 ft), 1.3 mi from Socorro. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Socorro
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belen, NM | 50 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 21 |
| Los Lunas, NM | 52 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 21 |
| Truth or Consequences, NM | 60 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 9 |
| Albuquerque, NM | 74 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 20 |
| Los Ranchos de Albuquerque, NM | 78 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 20 |
| Corrales, NM | 83 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 1 |
| Edgewood, NM | 84 mi | May 9 | Oct 9 |
| Rio Rancho, NM | 86 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 1 |
| Ruidoso, NM | 86 mi | May 11 | Oct 5 |
| Bernalillo, NM | 89 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Socorro?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Socorro is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Socorro?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 25. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 11 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Socorro after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 29.
What growing zone is Socorro?
Socorro is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 87823. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · frost vs. freeze