Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Bernalillo in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Bernalillo during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 36°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Bernalillo
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Rio Rancho #1. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 16 · Apr 29 · May 12 | Oct 4 · Oct 16 · Oct 26 | 169 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 16 · May 2 | Oct 12 · Oct 23 · Nov 5 | 191 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 12 · Mar 30 · Apr 15 | Oct 20 · Nov 2 · Nov 15 | 218 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Rio Rancho #1
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Bernalillo, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Rio Rancho #1 (station USC00297477, elevation 5,230 ft), 4.2 mi from Bernalillo. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Bernalillo
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrales, NM | 6.2 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 1 |
| Rio Rancho, NM | 8.1 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 1 |
| Los Ranchos de Albuquerque, NM | 12 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 20 |
| Albuquerque, NM | 16 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 20 |
| Edgewood, NM | 22 mi | May 9 | Oct 9 |
| Los Lunas, NM | 38 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 21 |
| Santa Fe, NM | 40 mi | May 14 | Oct 6 |
| Belen, NM | 40 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 21 |
| Española, NM | 55 mi | May 11 | Oct 6 |
| Grants, NM | 73 mi | May 17 | Oct 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Bernalillo?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Bernalillo is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 2, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 2.
When is the first frost in Bernalillo?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 12 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Bernalillo after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 29.
What growing zone is Bernalillo?
Bernalillo is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 87004. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · frost vs. freeze