Frost dates 2026–2027

Frost dates for Cameron, Texas

Median (50% chance) dates of the last and first 32°F frost, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals at Cameron, 1.1 mi away (close match).

Last spring frostMar 6
First fall frostNov 23
261 frost-free days
Last spring frostMar 61 year in 10 after Mar 27
First fall frostNov 231 year in 10 by Nov 3
Growing season261 daysbetween median 32°F dates
Hardiness zoneZone 9a20 to 25°F average extreme low

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Will it freeze in Cameron in the next 7 nights?

No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Cameron during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.

Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.

NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.

No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.

Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.

Frost and freeze probabilities

Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.

These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.

Average first hard freeze in Cameron

The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cameron. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.

TemperatureLast spring date
90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze
First fall date
10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze
Season
36°F frost possible Feb 27 · Mar 18 · Apr 8 Oct 27 · Nov 11 · Dec 1 237 days
32°F freeze Feb 7 · Mar 6 · Mar 27 Nov 3 · Nov 23 · Dec 20 261 days
28°F hard freeze Jan 21 · Feb 23 · Mar 15 Nov 12 · Dec 6 · Jan 10 292 days
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, station USC00411348. How to read these probabilities.

Average high temperature by month

1991–2020 normals at Cameron

Average low temperature by month

Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk

Where these frost dates come from

The frost dates for Cameron, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cameron (station USC00411348, elevation 364 ft), 1.1 mi from Cameron. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.

Frost dates near Cameron

CityDistanceLast spring frostFirst fall frost
Rockdale, TX 14 mi Mar 6 Nov 23
Temple, TX 30 mi Mar 14 Nov 20
Marlin, TX 31 mi Mar 21 Nov 9
Belton, TX 33 mi Mar 14 Nov 20
Taylor, TX 34 mi Mar 8 Nov 21
Bryan, TX 38 mi Feb 27 Nov 30
Jarrell, TX 38 mi Mar 6 Nov 24
Nolanville, TX 40 mi Mar 14 Nov 20
Hutto, TX 40 mi Mar 8 Nov 21
Robinson, TX 42 mi Mar 9 Nov 20

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Cameron?

On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Cameron is around March 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 7.

When is the first frost in Cameron?

The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 20.

Can it frost in Cameron after the last frost date?

Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 18.

What growing zone is Cameron?

Cameron is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 76520. See growing zones in Texas.

More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze