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Will it freeze in Rockdale in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Rockdale during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 49°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Rockdale
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cameron. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 27 · Mar 18 · Apr 8 | Oct 27 · Nov 11 · Dec 1 | 237 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 7 · Mar 6 · Mar 27 | Nov 3 · Nov 23 · Dec 20 | 261 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 21 · Feb 23 · Mar 15 | Nov 12 · Dec 6 · Jan 10 | 292 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cameron
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Rockdale, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cameron (station USC00411348, elevation 364 ft), 13 mi from Rockdale. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Rockdale
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron, TX | 14 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 23 |
| Taylor, TX | 25 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 21 |
| Elgin, TX | 31 mi | Mar 4 | Nov 24 |
| Hutto, TX | 33 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 21 |
| Giddings, TX | 33 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 21 |
| Bryan, TX | 37 mi | Feb 27 | Nov 30 |
| Jarrell, TX | 37 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 24 |
| Pflugerville, TX | 38 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 20 |
| Temple, TX | 39 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 20 |
| Manor, TX | 39 mi | Mar 4 | Nov 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Rockdale?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Rockdale is around March 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 7.
When is the first frost in Rockdale?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 20.
Can it frost in Rockdale after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 18.
What growing zone is Rockdale?
Rockdale is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 76567. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze