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Will it freeze in Nolanville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Nolanville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 53°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 51°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Nolanville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Stillhouse Hollow Dam. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 7 · Mar 27 · Apr 19 | Oct 21 · Nov 8 · Nov 28 | 226 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 22 · Mar 14 · Apr 4 | Oct 29 · Nov 20 · Dec 9 | 251 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 31 · Mar 1 · Mar 21 | Nov 10 · Dec 1 · Dec 28 | 277 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Stillhouse Hollow Dam
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Nolanville, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Stillhouse Hollow Dam (station USC00418646, elevation 706 ft), 5.2 mi from Nolanville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Nolanville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harker Heights, TX | 2.5 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Killeen, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| Belton, TX | 7.5 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 20 |
| Temple, TX | 13 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 20 |
| Jarrell, TX | 18 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 24 |
| Copperas Cove, TX | 19 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 17 |
| McGregor, TX | 26 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 18 |
| Gatesville, TX | 27 mi | Mar 19 | Nov 9 |
| Georgetown, TX | 29 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 24 |
| Liberty Hill, TX | 34 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Nolanville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Nolanville is around March 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 4, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 22.
When is the first frost in Nolanville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 29 and a 90% chance by December 9.
Can it frost in Nolanville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 27.
What growing zone is Nolanville?
Nolanville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 76559. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze