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Will it freeze in Kingston in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 31°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 57°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 57°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Kingston
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 7, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Rhinebeck 4SE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 11 · May 29 · Jun 17 | Sep 4 · Sep 19 · Oct 1 | 112 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 30 · May 14 · Jun 1 | Sep 14 · Sep 28 · Oct 11 | 134 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 18 · May 2 · May 19 | Sep 26 · Oct 7 · Oct 25 | 158 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Rhinebeck 4SE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Kingston, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Rhinebeck 4SE (station USC00307035, elevation 301 ft), 7.3 mi from Kingston. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Kingston
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Paltz, NY | 13 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 27 |
| Poughkeepsie, NY | 17 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 21 |
| Wappingers Falls, NY | 24 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 14 |
| Hudson, NY | 25 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 18 |
| Walden, NY | 27 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Newburgh, NY | 30 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Beacon, NY | 30 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Washingtonville, NY | 35 mi | May 1 | Oct 11 |
| Liberty, NY | 40 mi | May 9 | Oct 5 |
| Middletown, NY | 40 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Kingston?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Kingston is around May 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after June 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 30.
When is the first frost in Kingston?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around September 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 14 and a 90% chance by October 11.
Can it frost in Kingston after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 29.
What growing zone is Kingston?
Kingston is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 12417. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze