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Will it freeze in Wappingers Falls in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 30°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Wappingers Falls
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Poughkeepsie Dutchess County Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 26 · May 10 · May 26 | Sep 22 · Oct 4 · Oct 16 | 146 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 15 · Apr 30 · May 14 | Oct 1 · Oct 14 · Oct 31 | 168 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 1 · Apr 15 · May 2 | Oct 10 · Oct 27 · Nov 8 | 194 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Poughkeepsie Dutchess County Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Wappingers Falls, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Poughkeepsie Dutchess County Airport (station USW00014757, elevation 166 ft), 2.6 mi from Wappingers Falls. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Wappingers Falls
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poughkeepsie, NY | 6.8 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 21 |
| Beacon, NY | 6.8 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Newburgh, NY | 8.7 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| New Paltz, NY | 14 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 27 |
| Walden, NY | 14 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Washingtonville, NY | 17 mi | May 1 | Oct 11 |
| Woodbury, NY | 21 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Peekskill, NY | 22 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 17 |
| Kiryas Joel, NY | 22 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Kingston, NY | 24 mi | May 14 | Sep 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Wappingers Falls?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Wappingers Falls is around April 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 15.
When is the first frost in Wappingers Falls?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by October 31.
Can it frost in Wappingers Falls after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 10.
What growing zone is Wappingers Falls?
Wappingers Falls is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 12590. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze