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Will it freeze in Poughkeepsie in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 30°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 59°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 59°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Poughkeepsie
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Poughkeepsie. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 2 · May 17 | Sep 29 · Oct 10 · Oct 25 | 159 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 6 · Apr 21 · May 4 | Oct 7 · Oct 21 · Nov 5 | 183 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 28 · Apr 7 · Apr 22 | Oct 17 · Nov 2 · Nov 17 | 207 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Poughkeepsie
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Poughkeepsie, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Poughkeepsie (station USC00306820, elevation 251 ft), 2.2 mi from Poughkeepsie. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Poughkeepsie
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wappingers Falls, NY | 6.8 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 14 |
| New Paltz, NY | 9.3 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 27 |
| Beacon, NY | 14 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Newburgh, NY | 14 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Walden, NY | 17 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Kingston, NY | 17 mi | May 14 | Sep 28 |
| Washingtonville, NY | 22 mi | May 1 | Oct 11 |
| Woodbury, NY | 27 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Kiryas Joel, NY | 27 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Peekskill, NY | 28 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Poughkeepsie?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Poughkeepsie is around April 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 4, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 6.
When is the first frost in Poughkeepsie?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 7 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Poughkeepsie after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Poughkeepsie?
Poughkeepsie is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 12601. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · UV index today in Poughkeepsie · frost vs. freeze