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Will it freeze in New Paltz in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 30°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 58°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 58°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 43°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in New Paltz
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mohonk Lake. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 19 · May 1 · May 15 | Oct 2 · Oct 15 · Oct 30 | 165 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 6 · Apr 21 · May 5 | Oct 12 · Oct 27 · Nov 9 | 188 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 30 · Apr 8 · Apr 24 | Oct 26 · Nov 6 · Nov 22 | 211 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mohonk Lake
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for New Paltz, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mohonk Lake (station USC00305426, elevation 1,245 ft), 4.1 mi from New Paltz. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near New Paltz
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poughkeepsie, NY | 9.3 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 21 |
| Kingston, NY | 13 mi | May 14 | Sep 28 |
| Wappingers Falls, NY | 14 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 14 |
| Walden, NY | 14 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Newburgh, NY | 17 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Beacon, NY | 18 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Washingtonville, NY | 22 mi | May 1 | Oct 11 |
| Goshen, NY | 27 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
| Middletown, NY | 27 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
| Kiryas Joel, NY | 29 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in New Paltz?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in New Paltz is around April 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 6.
When is the first frost in New Paltz?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 12 and a 90% chance by November 9.
Can it frost in New Paltz after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 1.
What growing zone is New Paltz?
New Paltz is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 12561. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze