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Will it freeze in Middletown in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 30°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 57°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 57°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 42°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Middletown
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Middletown 2 NW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 1 · May 18 | Sep 27 · Oct 8 · Oct 22 | 159 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 21 · May 5 | Oct 5 · Oct 22 · Nov 4 | 182 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 10 · Apr 24 | Oct 18 · Nov 2 · Nov 16 | 206 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Middletown 2 NW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Middletown, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Middletown 2 NW (station USC00305310, elevation 700 ft), 1.7 mi from Middletown. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Middletown
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goshen, NY | 5.6 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
| Warwick, NY | 14 mi | May 1 | Oct 12 |
| Washingtonville, NY | 14 mi | May 1 | Oct 11 |
| Walden, NY | 14 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
| Port Jervis, NY | 14 mi | May 5 | Oct 10 |
| Kiryas Joel, NY | 15 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Monroe, NY | 15 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Woodbury, NY | 19 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 1 |
| Monticello, NY | 20 mi | May 7 | Oct 7 |
| Newburgh, NY | 21 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 11 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Middletown?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Middletown is around April 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Middletown?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 5 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Middletown after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 1.
What growing zone is Middletown?
Middletown is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 10940. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · UV index today in Middletown · frost vs. freeze