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Will it freeze in Corning in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tue, Nov 10: 31°F (Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM EST to Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 31°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Corning
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Corning. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 13 · May 29 · Jun 11 | Sep 11 · Sep 24 · Oct 4 | 117 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 30 · May 17 · May 31 | Sep 21 · Oct 2 · Oct 16 | 139 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 21 · May 4 · May 20 | Sep 30 · Oct 13 · Oct 30 | 162 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Corning
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Corning, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Corning (station USC00301787, elevation 1,147 ft), 1.2 mi from Corning. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Corning
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Horseheads, NY | 12 mi | May 9 | Oct 9 |
| Elmira, NY | 13 mi | May 6 | Oct 11 |
| Bath, NY | 19 mi | May 12 | Oct 3 |
| Sayre, PA | 30 mi | May 6 | Oct 10 |
| Hornell, NY | 34 mi | May 11 | Oct 8 |
| Ithaca, NY | 35 mi | May 11 | Oct 3 |
| Penn Yan, NY | 35 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 22 |
| Alfred, NY | 39 mi | May 18 | Oct 1 |
| Geneva, NY | 50 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Endicott, NY | 51 mi | May 5 | Oct 12 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Corning?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Corning is around May 17. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 30.
When is the first frost in Corning?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 21 and a 90% chance by October 16.
Can it frost in Corning after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 29.
What growing zone is Corning?
Corning is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 14830. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze