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Will it freeze in Bath in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tue, Nov 10: 32°F (Tue, Nov 10, 6:00 PM EST to Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 40°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 32°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 28°F Hard freeze · Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Bath
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 16, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Bath. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 9 · May 25 · Jun 6 | Sep 10 · Sep 23 · Oct 6 | 121 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 28 · May 12 · May 28 | Sep 20 · Oct 3 · Oct 18 | 144 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 19 · May 1 · May 19 | Oct 1 · Oct 16 · Nov 2 | 166 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Bath
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Bath, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Bath (station USC00300448, elevation 1,120 ft), 1.8 mi from Bath. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Bath
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hornell, NY | 17 mi | May 11 | Oct 8 |
| Corning, NY | 19 mi | May 17 | Oct 2 |
| Alfred, NY | 25 mi | May 18 | Oct 1 |
| Penn Yan, NY | 26 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 22 |
| Horseheads, NY | 27 mi | May 9 | Oct 9 |
| Elmira, NY | 31 mi | May 6 | Oct 11 |
| Canandaigua, NY | 39 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| Geneva, NY | 40 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Geneseo, NY | 40 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 17 |
| Ithaca, NY | 42 mi | May 11 | Oct 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Bath?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Bath is around May 12. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 28, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 28.
When is the first frost in Bath?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 20 and a 90% chance by October 18.
Can it frost in Bath after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 25.
What growing zone is Bath?
Bath is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 14810. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze