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Will it freeze in Sayre in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Wed, Nov 11: 29°F (Wed, Nov 11, 6:00 PM EST to Thu, Nov 12, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 29°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Sayre
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Waverly. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 1 · May 18 · May 31 | Sep 18 · Oct 1 · Oct 13 | 135 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 22 · May 6 · May 22 | Sep 27 · Oct 10 · Oct 26 | 157 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 23 · May 10 | Oct 6 · Oct 25 · Nov 6 | 182 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Waverly
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Sayre, PA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Waverly (station USC00309047, elevation 845 ft), 1.1 mi from Sayre. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Sayre
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elmira, NY | 17 mi | May 6 | Oct 11 |
| Horseheads, NY | 21 mi | May 9 | Oct 9 |
| Endicott, NY | 25 mi | May 5 | Oct 12 |
| Corning, NY | 30 mi | May 17 | Oct 2 |
| Johnson City, NY | 30 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Ithaca, NY | 32 mi | May 11 | Oct 3 |
| Binghamton, NY | 32 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Cortland, NY | 46 mi | May 7 | Oct 8 |
| Bath, NY | 47 mi | May 12 | Oct 3 |
| Penn Yan, NY | 54 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Sayre?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Sayre is around May 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 22.
When is the first frost in Sayre?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 27 and a 90% chance by October 26.
Can it frost in Sayre after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 18.
What growing zone is Sayre?
Sayre is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 18840. See growing zones in Pennsylvania.
More: all Pennsylvania frost dates · Pennsylvania growing zones · frost vs. freeze