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Will it freeze in Sugar Land in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Sugar Land during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 63°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 63°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 63°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Sat, Nov 7 59°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 54°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Sugar Land
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Sugar Land. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 2 · Mar 2 · Mar 25 | Nov 9 · Nov 29 · Dec 20 | 272 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 13 · Feb 9 · Mar 11 | Nov 19 · Dec 13 · Jan 13 | 305 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 26 · Jan 28 · Feb 28 | Nov 30 · Jan 1 · Feb 2 | 337 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Sugar Land
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Sugar Land, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Sugar Land (station USC00418728, elevation 84 ft), 2.4 mi from Sugar Land. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Sugar Land
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stafford, TX | 5.0 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 11 |
| Missouri City, TX | 6.2 mi | Feb 15 | Dec 6 |
| Richmond, TX | 7.5 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Rosenberg, TX | 12 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Bellaire, TX | 13 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 25 |
| West University Place, TX | 15 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 25 |
| Iowa Colony, TX | 16 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Fulshear, TX | 17 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Manvel, TX | 17 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Katy, TX | 19 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 11 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Sugar Land?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Sugar Land is around February 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 13.
When is the first frost in Sugar Land?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 19 and a 90% chance by January 13.
Can it frost in Sugar Land after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 2.
What growing zone is Sugar Land?
Sugar Land is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77479. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in Sugar Land · frost vs. freeze