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Will it freeze in Manvel in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Manvel during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 61°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 61°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 61°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Sat, Nov 7 56°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Manvel
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Houston Clover Field, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 23 · Feb 21 · Mar 18 | Nov 13 · Dec 3 · Jan 2 | 287 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 1 · Jan 31 · Mar 5 | Nov 28 · Dec 27 · Jan 28 | 328 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 22 · Jan 18 · Feb 20 | Dec 14 · Jan 8 · Feb 4 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Houston Clover Field
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Manvel, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Houston Clover Field (station USW00012975, elevation 44 ft), 7.7 mi from Manvel. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Manvel
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Colony, TX | 5.0 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Pearland, TX | 5.6 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Alvin, TX | 9.3 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 5 |
| Friendswood, TX | 9.9 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Missouri City, TX | 12 mi | Feb 15 | Dec 6 |
| South Houston, TX | 14 mi | Jan 30 | Dec 28 |
| Webster, TX | 16 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Stafford, TX | 16 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 11 |
| League City, TX | 16 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Bellaire, TX | 16 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Manvel?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Manvel is around January 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 1.
When is the first frost in Manvel?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 28 and a 90% chance by January 28.
Can it frost in Manvel after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 21.
What growing zone is Manvel?
Manvel is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77578. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze