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Will it freeze in Prairie View in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Prairie View during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 59°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 55°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 49°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Prairie View
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 16, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Bellville 6NNE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 21 · Mar 12 · Apr 2 | Nov 2 · Nov 19 · Dec 6 | 253 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 31 · Feb 28 · Mar 20 | Nov 12 · Dec 2 · Dec 25 | 279 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 10 · Feb 11 · Mar 9 | Nov 23 · Dec 16 · Jan 15 | 311 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Bellville 6NNE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Prairie View, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Bellville 6NNE (station USC00410655, elevation 280 ft), 15 mi from Prairie View. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Prairie View
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waller, TX | 3.1 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Hempstead, TX | 6.2 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Magnolia, TX | 17 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 3 |
| Brookshire, TX | 21 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 30 |
| Tomball, TX | 21 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 3 |
| Katy, TX | 22 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 11 |
| Navasota, TX | 22 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 19 |
| Sealy, TX | 25 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 30 |
| Brenham, TX | 25 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 30 |
| Jersey Village, TX | 27 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Prairie View?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Prairie View is around February 28. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 31.
When is the first frost in Prairie View?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 12 and a 90% chance by December 25.
Can it frost in Prairie View after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 12.
What growing zone is Prairie View?
Prairie View is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77446. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze