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Will it freeze in Brookshire in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Brookshire during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 60°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Sat, Nov 7 56°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 53°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Brookshire
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Sealy. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 20 · Mar 13 · Apr 5 | Nov 1 · Nov 17 · Dec 6 | 249 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 30 · Feb 28 · Mar 21 | Nov 9 · Nov 30 · Dec 29 | 276 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 2 · Feb 10 · Mar 9 | Nov 20 · Dec 20 · Jan 29 | 314 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Sealy
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Brookshire, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Sealy (station USC00418160, elevation 196 ft), 12 mi from Brookshire. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Brookshire
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katy, TX | 6.8 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 11 |
| Fulshear, TX | 7.5 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Sealy, TX | 12 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 30 |
| Rosenberg, TX | 18 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Richmond, TX | 18 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Waller, TX | 20 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Prairie View, TX | 21 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Sugar Land, TX | 23 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 13 |
| Hempstead, TX | 23 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Jersey Village, TX | 24 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Brookshire?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Brookshire is around February 28. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 30.
When is the first frost in Brookshire?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 30. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 9 and a 90% chance by December 29.
Can it frost in Brookshire after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 13.
What growing zone is Brookshire?
Brookshire is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77466. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze