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Will it freeze in Navasota in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Navasota during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 58°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 58°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 54°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Navasota
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Washington State Park. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 28 · Mar 22 · Apr 15 | Oct 24 · Nov 7 · Nov 27 | 233 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 10 · Mar 7 · Mar 31 | Nov 1 · Nov 19 · Dec 11 | 259 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 19 · Feb 19 · Mar 16 | Nov 11 · Dec 3 · Jan 5 | 291 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Washington State Park
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Navasota, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Washington State Park (station USC00419491, elevation 215 ft), 6.0 mi from Navasota. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Navasota
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| College Station, TX | 19 mi | Feb 27 | Nov 30 |
| Hempstead, TX | 20 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Prairie View, TX | 22 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Waller, TX | 24 mi | Feb 28 | Dec 2 |
| Brenham, TX | 24 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 30 |
| Magnolia, TX | 24 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 3 |
| Bryan, TX | 26 mi | Feb 27 | Nov 30 |
| Tomball, TX | 35 mi | Feb 19 | Dec 3 |
| Willis, TX | 36 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 19 |
| Conroe, TX | 36 mi | Feb 24 | Dec 2 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Navasota?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Navasota is around March 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 10.
When is the first frost in Navasota?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 1 and a 90% chance by December 11.
Can it frost in Navasota after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 22.
What growing zone is Navasota?
Navasota is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77868. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze