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Will it freeze in Luling in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Luling during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 57°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 52°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Luling
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Luling. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 26 · Mar 22 · Apr 14 | Oct 27 · Nov 10 · Dec 1 | 237 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 7 · Mar 5 · Apr 3 | Nov 3 · Nov 23 · Dec 14 | 263 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 11 · Feb 17 · Mar 13 | Nov 13 · Dec 6 · Jan 7 | 297 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Luling
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Luling, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Luling (station USC00415429, elevation 400 ft), 0.8 mi from Luling. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Luling
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lockhart, TX | 14 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Gonzales, TX | 17 mi | Feb 26 | Nov 28 |
| Seguin, TX | 21 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 26 |
| San Marcos, TX | 22 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
| Kyle, TX | 26 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
| New Braunfels, TX | 28 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 18 |
| Buda, TX | 30 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 17 |
| Cibolo, TX | 35 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 5 |
| Bastrop, TX | 35 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 19 |
| Schertz, TX | 37 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Luling?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Luling is around March 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 7.
When is the first frost in Luling?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 14.
Can it frost in Luling after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 22.
What growing zone is Luling?
Luling is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78648. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze