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Will it freeze in Bastrop in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Bastrop during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 56°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 56°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 51°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Bastrop
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cedar Creek 5 S. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 6 · Mar 26 · Apr 13 | Oct 23 · Nov 6 · Nov 27 | 226 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 22 · Mar 14 · Apr 3 | Oct 31 · Nov 19 · Dec 8 | 250 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 29 · Mar 2 · Mar 22 | Nov 10 · Dec 1 · Dec 31 | 275 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cedar Creek 5 S
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Bastrop, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cedar Creek 5 S (station USC00411541, elevation 436 ft), 11 mi from Bastrop. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Bastrop
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin, TX | 17 mi | Mar 4 | Nov 24 |
| Manor, TX | 22 mi | Mar 4 | Nov 24 |
| Giddings, TX | 24 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 21 |
| Lockhart, TX | 27 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Pflugerville, TX | 29 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 20 |
| Austin, TX | 29 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 3 |
| Buda, TX | 32 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 17 |
| Taylor, TX | 32 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 21 |
| Hutto, TX | 32 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 21 |
| Kyle, TX | 35 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Bastrop?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Bastrop is around March 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 22.
When is the first frost in Bastrop?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 8.
Can it frost in Bastrop after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 26.
What growing zone is Bastrop?
Bastrop is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78602. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze