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Will it freeze in Gonzales in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Gonzales during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 58°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 58°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 56°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 54°F Above 36°F · Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 49°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 49°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Gonzales
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Gonzales 2S. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 19 · Mar 12 · Apr 1 | Oct 31 · Nov 16 · Dec 5 | 248 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 30 · Feb 26 · Mar 21 | Nov 7 · Nov 28 · Dec 20 | 272 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 31 · Feb 6 · Mar 6 | Nov 19 · Dec 12 · Jan 18 | 307 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Gonzales 2S
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Gonzales, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Gonzales 2S (station USC00413622, elevation 296 ft), 2.6 mi from Gonzales. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Gonzales
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luling, TX | 17 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Yoakum, TX | 24 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 30 |
| Lockhart, TX | 29 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 23 |
| Cuero, TX | 30 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 27 |
| Seguin, TX | 32 mi | Mar 1 | Nov 26 |
| San Marcos, TX | 39 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
| Bastrop, TX | 42 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 19 |
| New Braunfels, TX | 42 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 18 |
| Kyle, TX | 42 mi | Feb 28 | Nov 29 |
| Buda, TX | 46 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Gonzales?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Gonzales is around February 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 30.
When is the first frost in Gonzales?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 7 and a 90% chance by December 20.
Can it frost in Gonzales after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 12.
What growing zone is Gonzales?
Gonzales is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78629. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze