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Will it freeze in Lake Jackson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lake Jackson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 62°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 62°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 61°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Sat, Nov 7 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 55°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 56°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lake Jackson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Angleton Brazoria Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 31 · Mar 2 · Mar 31 | Nov 5 · Nov 25 · Dec 16 | 266 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 10 · Feb 13 · Mar 17 | Nov 18 · Dec 8 · Jan 12 | 301 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 23 · Jan 26 · Mar 3 | Dec 3 · Jan 1 · Feb 5 | 340 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Angleton Brazoria Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lake Jackson, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Angleton Brazoria Airport (station USW00012976, elevation 25 ft), 4.1 mi from Lake Jackson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lake Jackson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clute, TX | 3.7 mi | Jan 27 | Jan 1 |
| Angleton, TX | 8.7 mi | Jan 29 | Dec 31 |
| Freeport, TX | 9.3 mi | Jan 27 | Jan 1 |
| Iowa Colony, TX | 27 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Alvin, TX | 29 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 5 |
| Manvel, TX | 30 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Galveston, TX | 31 mi | rare | rare |
| Bay City, TX | 31 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 3 |
| Hitchcock, TX | 31 mi | rare | rare |
| Santa Fe, TX | 32 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lake Jackson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lake Jackson is around February 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 10.
When is the first frost in Lake Jackson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 18 and a 90% chance by January 12.
Can it frost in Lake Jackson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 2.
What growing zone is Lake Jackson?
Lake Jackson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77566. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in Lake Jackson · frost vs. freeze