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Will it freeze in Cadillac in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 29°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM EST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
7 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 29°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain And Snow Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 26°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 28°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 29°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Cadillac
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cadillac. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 16 · May 31 · Jun 14 | Aug 31 · Sep 20 · Oct 4 | 112 days |
| 32°F freeze | May 2 · May 19 · Jun 3 | Sep 17 · Oct 1 · Oct 16 | 135 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 21 · May 5 · May 21 | Sep 28 · Oct 13 · Oct 31 | 160 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cadillac
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Cadillac, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cadillac (station USW00014817, elevation 1,295 ft), 2.2 mi from Cadillac. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Cadillac
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City, MI | 36 mi | May 12 | Oct 16 |
| Big Rapids, MI | 38 mi | May 13 | Oct 2 |
| Manistee, MI | 44 mi | May 14 | Oct 12 |
| Ludington, MI | 54 mi | May 17 | Oct 7 |
| Mount Pleasant, MI | 55 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 20 |
| St. Louis, MI | 71 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Alma, MI | 71 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Midland, MI | 73 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 16 |
| Greenville, MI | 74 mi | May 18 | Sep 28 |
| Rockford, MI | 77 mi | May 14 | Sep 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Cadillac?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Cadillac is around May 19. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after June 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after May 2.
When is the first frost in Cadillac?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 17 and a 90% chance by October 16.
Can it frost in Cadillac after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 31.
What growing zone is Cadillac?
Cadillac is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −20 to −15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 49601. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze