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Will it freeze in Manistee in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Manistee during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Manistee
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Manistee 3SE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 9 · May 27 · Jun 13 | Sep 13 · Sep 30 · Oct 15 | 125 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 27 · May 14 · May 31 | Sep 27 · Oct 12 · Nov 1 | 151 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 15 · Apr 30 · May 21 | Oct 11 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 182 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Manistee 3SE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Manistee, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Manistee 3SE (station USC00205065, elevation 670 ft), 2.9 mi from Manistee. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Manistee
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ludington, MI | 21 mi | May 17 | Oct 7 |
| Cadillac, MI | 44 mi | May 19 | Oct 1 |
| Traverse City, MI | 50 mi | May 12 | Oct 16 |
| Big Rapids, MI | 57 mi | May 13 | Oct 2 |
| Two Rivers, WI | 62 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 21 |
| Sturgeon Bay, WI | 65 mi | May 8 | Oct 13 |
| Manitowoc, WI | 68 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 20 |
| Muskegon, MI | 70 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 19 |
| Muskegon Heights, MI | 72 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 19 |
| Norton Shores, MI | 75 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Manistee?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Manistee is around May 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 27.
When is the first frost in Manistee?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 12. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 27 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Manistee after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 27.
What growing zone is Manistee?
Manistee is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 49626. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze