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Will it freeze in Midland in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 30°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 30°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Midland
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 31, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Midland. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 26 · May 10 · May 28 | Sep 21 · Oct 4 · Oct 18 | 144 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 29 · May 16 | Oct 1 · Oct 16 · Nov 1 | 167 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 18 · May 2 | Oct 15 · Oct 31 · Nov 15 | 195 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Midland
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Midland, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Midland (station USC00205434, elevation 640 ft), 1.9 mi from Midland. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Midland
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bay City, MI | 17 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 20 |
| Saginaw, MI | 20 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 21 |
| St. Louis, MI | 24 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Alma, MI | 27 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Mount Pleasant, MI | 27 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 20 |
| Frankenmuth, MI | 32 mi | May 3 | Oct 12 |
| Flushing, MI | 43 mi | May 3 | Oct 13 |
| Owosso, MI | 43 mi | May 1 | Oct 15 |
| St. Johns, MI | 46 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 24 |
| Flint, MI | 50 mi | May 3 | Oct 13 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Midland?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Midland is around April 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Midland?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 16. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Midland after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 10.
What growing zone is Midland?
Midland is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 48642. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · UV index today in Midland · frost vs. freeze