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Will it freeze in Charlottesville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Charlottesville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 60°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 60°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Charlottesville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Charlottesville 2W. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 12 · Apr 28 | Oct 16 · Oct 29 · Nov 13 | 200 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 2 · Apr 14 | Oct 29 · Nov 10 · Nov 28 | 222 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 22 · Apr 4 | Nov 6 · Nov 22 · Dec 11 | 246 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Charlottesville 2W
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Charlottesville, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Charlottesville 2W (station USC00441593, elevation 866 ft), 2.1 mi from Charlottesville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Charlottesville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waynesboro, VA | 23 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Orange, VA | 25 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Staunton, VA | 32 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 27 |
| Harrisonburg, VA | 35 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Bridgewater, VA | 35 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Culpeper, VA | 40 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
| Farmville, VA | 52 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 29 |
| Buena Vista, VA | 52 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Lexington, VA | 55 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Fredericksburg, VA | 57 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Charlottesville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Charlottesville is around April 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in Charlottesville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 29 and a 90% chance by November 28.
Can it frost in Charlottesville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 12.
What growing zone is Charlottesville?
Charlottesville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 22908. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · UV index today in Charlottesville · frost vs. freeze