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Will it freeze in Buena Vista in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Buena Vista during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 56°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 56°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Buena Vista
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lexington. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 18 · May 4 · May 20 | Oct 1 · Oct 13 · Oct 26 | 161 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 23 · May 11 | Oct 9 · Oct 23 · Nov 3 | 181 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 25 · Apr 9 · Apr 26 | Oct 17 · Nov 1 · Nov 11 | 204 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lexington
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Buena Vista, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lexington (station USC00444876, elevation 1,097 ft), 5.5 mi from Buena Vista. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Buena Vista
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington, VA | 6.2 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Lynchburg, VA | 24 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 25 |
| Bedford, VA | 28 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Staunton, VA | 34 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 27 |
| Waynesboro, VA | 34 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Covington, VA | 34 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 18 |
| Vinton, VA | 43 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Roanoke, VA | 45 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Salem, VA | 49 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Bridgewater, VA | 50 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Buena Vista?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Buena Vista is around April 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 8.
When is the first frost in Buena Vista?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 9 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Buena Vista after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Buena Vista?
Buena Vista is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 24416. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · frost vs. freeze