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Will it freeze in Lynchburg in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lynchburg during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 59°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 59°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 43°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lynchburg
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lynchburg #2. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 15 | Oct 4 · Oct 15 · Oct 30 | 169 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 17 · May 4 | Oct 12 · Oct 25 · Nov 6 | 190 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 2 · Apr 15 | Oct 20 · Nov 3 · Nov 18 | 213 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lynchburg #2
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lynchburg, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lynchburg #2 (station USC00445117, elevation 736 ft), 2.4 mi from Lynchburg. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lynchburg
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bedford, VA | 18 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Buena Vista, VA | 24 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Lexington, VA | 30 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Vinton, VA | 39 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Roanoke, VA | 43 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Farmville, VA | 44 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 29 |
| Salem, VA | 48 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Waynesboro, VA | 49 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| South Boston, VA | 50 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 30 |
| Covington, VA | 51 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lynchburg?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lynchburg is around April 17. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 4, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 3.
When is the first frost in Lynchburg?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 25. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 12 and a 90% chance by November 6.
Can it frost in Lynchburg after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 30.
What growing zone is Lynchburg?
Lynchburg is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 24502. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · UV index today in Lynchburg · frost vs. freeze