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Will it freeze in Covington in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Covington
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 28, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Covington Fltr Plt. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 22 · May 8 · May 26 | Sep 25 · Oct 8 · Oct 23 | 150 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 12 · Apr 27 · May 15 | Oct 4 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 172 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 30 · Apr 14 · May 2 | Oct 13 · Oct 28 · Nov 10 | 197 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Covington Fltr Plt
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Covington, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Covington Fltr Plt (station USC00442044, elevation 1,244 ft), 2.1 mi from Covington. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Covington
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington, VA | 30 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Buena Vista, VA | 34 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Salem, VA | 34 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Roanoke, VA | 35 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Vinton, VA | 35 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Bedford, VA | 40 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Blacksburg, VA | 45 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 19 |
| Christiansburg, VA | 50 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Lynchburg, VA | 51 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 25 |
| Radford, VA | 55 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Covington?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Covington is around April 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 15, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 12.
When is the first frost in Covington?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 18. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Covington after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 8.
What growing zone is Covington?
Covington is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 24426. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · frost vs. freeze