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Will it freeze in Mineola in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Mineola during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 54°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mineola
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 24, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mineola. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 15 · Apr 4 · Apr 25 | Oct 17 · Nov 1 · Nov 17 | 210 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 20 · Apr 10 | Oct 25 · Nov 11 · Nov 30 | 235 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 7 · Mar 6 · Mar 28 | Nov 3 · Nov 24 · Dec 13 | 262 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mineola
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mineola, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mineola (station USC00415954, elevation 367 ft), 1.2 mi from Mineola. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mineola
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindale, TX | 12 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 22 |
| Canton, TX | 24 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 21 |
| Tyler, TX | 25 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Gilmer, TX | 32 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 8 |
| Gladewater, TX | 32 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 23 |
| Whitehouse, TX | 34 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Sulphur Springs, TX | 35 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 14 |
| Bullard, TX | 37 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Athens, TX | 37 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| White Oak, TX | 37 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mineola?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mineola is around March 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 28.
When is the first frost in Mineola?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 25 and a 90% chance by November 30.
Can it frost in Mineola after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 4.
What growing zone is Mineola?
Mineola is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75773. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze