Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Bullard in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Bullard during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 54°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 54°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 46°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Bullard
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Tyler. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 3 · Mar 23 · Apr 11 | Oct 26 · Nov 9 · Nov 27 | 231 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 17 · Mar 7 · Mar 27 | Nov 4 · Nov 21 · Dec 9 | 257 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 25 · Feb 23 · Mar 15 | Nov 15 · Dec 4 · Jan 2 | 287 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Tyler
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Bullard, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Tyler (station USC00419207, elevation 550 ft), 11 mi from Bullard. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Bullard
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whitehouse, TX | 8.1 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Tyler, TX | 12 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Jacksonville, TX | 13 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 14 |
| Lindale, TX | 25 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 22 |
| Rusk, TX | 26 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 25 |
| Athens, TX | 30 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| Henderson, TX | 30 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 16 |
| Kilgore, TX | 32 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 17 |
| Palestine, TX | 33 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 9 |
| Gladewater, TX | 35 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Bullard?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Bullard is around March 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 17.
When is the first frost in Bullard?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 4 and a 90% chance by December 9.
Can it frost in Bullard after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 23.
What growing zone is Bullard?
Bullard is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75757. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze