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Will it freeze in Canton in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Canton during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 54°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 54°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Canton
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Wills Point. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 5 · Mar 26 · Apr 16 | Oct 27 · Nov 9 · Nov 27 | 229 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 20 · Mar 11 · Apr 1 | Nov 3 · Nov 21 · Dec 8 | 252 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Jan 31 · Feb 28 · Mar 16 | Nov 12 · Dec 3 · Dec 28 | 280 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Wills Point
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Canton, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Wills Point (station USC00419800, elevation 520 ft), 13 mi from Canton. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Canton
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mabank, TX | 19 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Gun Barrel City, TX | 22 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Mineola, TX | 24 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 11 |
| Athens, TX | 24 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 12 |
| Kaufman, TX | 26 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Lindale, TX | 27 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 22 |
| Terrell, TX | 28 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 18 |
| Crandall, TX | 34 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Tyler, TX | 37 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Forney, TX | 37 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Canton?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Canton is around March 11. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 20.
When is the first frost in Canton?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 8.
Can it frost in Canton after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 26.
What growing zone is Canton?
Canton is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75103. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze