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Will it freeze in Kaufman in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Kaufman during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 55°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 55°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Kaufman
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Kaufman 3 SE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 12 · Apr 1 · Apr 20 | Oct 22 · Nov 4 · Nov 20 | 218 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 25 · Mar 16 · Apr 5 | Oct 31 · Nov 14 · Dec 3 | 243 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 8 · Mar 4 · Mar 22 | Nov 7 · Nov 27 · Dec 15 | 267 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Kaufman 3 SE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Kaufman, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Kaufman 3 SE (station USC00414705, elevation 420 ft), 2.7 mi from Kaufman. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Kaufman
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crandall, TX | 8.1 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Terrell, TX | 11 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 18 |
| Forney, TX | 14 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 18 |
| Seagoville, TX | 14 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 19 |
| Mabank, TX | 19 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| McLendon-Chisholm, TX | 19 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 18 |
| Balch Springs, TX | 20 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 19 |
| Mesquite, TX | 20 mi | Mar 12 | Nov 19 |
| Gun Barrel City, TX | 21 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 14 |
| Sunnyvale, TX | 21 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Kaufman?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Kaufman is around March 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 25.
When is the first frost in Kaufman?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 3.
Can it frost in Kaufman after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 1.
What growing zone is Kaufman?
Kaufman is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75142. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze