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Will it freeze in Dickinson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Dickinson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 62°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 62°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 62°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 54°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 55°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 56°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 57°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Dickinson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Houston NWS Office. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 21 · Feb 22 · Mar 17 | Nov 9 · Nov 29 · Dec 22 | 281 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 25 · Jan 31 · Mar 5 | Nov 19 · Dec 14 · Jan 19 | 317 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 19 · Jan 17 · Feb 24 | Dec 6 · Jan 3 · Feb 5 | 356 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Houston NWS Office
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Dickinson, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Houston NWS Office (station USC00414333, elevation 19 ft), 2.1 mi from Dickinson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Dickinson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| League City, TX | 4.3 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Santa Fe, TX | 5.0 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Webster, TX | 6.8 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Nassau Bay, TX | 6.8 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| La Marque, TX | 6.8 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Friendswood, TX | 9.3 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 27 |
| Texas City, TX | 9.9 mi | Jan 25 | Jan 1 |
| Alvin, TX | 11 mi | Feb 14 | Dec 5 |
| Seabrook, TX | 11 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Hitchcock, TX | 12 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Dickinson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Dickinson is around January 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 25.
When is the first frost in Dickinson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 19 and a 90% chance by January 19.
Can it frost in Dickinson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 22.
What growing zone is Dickinson?
Dickinson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77539. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze