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Will it freeze in Texas City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Texas City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 68°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 68°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 67°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 62°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 60°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 60°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 63°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 63°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Texas City
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Galveston, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 4 · Feb 8 · Mar 8 | Nov 27 · Dec 19 · Jan 17 | 313 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 23 · Jan 25 · Feb 21 | Dec 9 · Jan 1 · Feb 1 | 348 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 22 · Jan 17 · Feb 8 | Dec 14 · Jan 5 · Feb 2 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Galveston
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Texas City, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Galveston (station USW00012944, elevation 7 ft), 11 mi from Texas City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Texas City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Marque, TX | 7.5 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Dickinson, TX | 9.9 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Hitchcock, TX | 12 mi | rare | rare |
| Seabrook, TX | 12 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Santa Fe, TX | 13 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| League City, TX | 14 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Nassau Bay, TX | 14 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Webster, TX | 15 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Galveston, TX | 17 mi | rare | rare |
| La Porte, TX | 19 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Texas City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Texas City is around January 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 23.
When is the first frost in Texas City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 9 and a 90% chance by February 1.
Can it frost in Texas City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 8.
What growing zone is Texas City?
Texas City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77590. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in Texas City · frost vs. freeze