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Will it freeze in Abilene in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Abilene during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 49°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Abilene
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Abilene Regional Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 17 · Apr 3 · Apr 22 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 211 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 20 · Apr 10 | Oct 28 · Nov 10 · Nov 28 | 236 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 18 · Mar 6 · Mar 28 | Nov 6 · Nov 23 · Dec 11 | 261 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Abilene Regional Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Abilene, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Abilene Regional Airport (station USW00013962, elevation 1,790 ft), 4.5 mi from Abilene. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Abilene
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweetwater, TX | 39 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 8 |
| Breckenridge, TX | 52 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 3 |
| Brownwood, TX | 68 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 10 |
| Snyder, TX | 71 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 10 |
| Graham, TX | 81 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| San Angelo, TX | 81 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 10 |
| Stephenville, TX | 90 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 8 |
| Mineral Wells, TX | 100 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 10 |
| Big Spring, TX | 103 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 13 |
| Granbury, TX | 114 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Abilene?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Abilene is around March 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 1.
When is the first frost in Abilene?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by November 28.
Can it frost in Abilene after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 3.
What growing zone is Abilene?
Abilene is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 79605. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · UV index today in Abilene · frost vs. freeze