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Will it freeze in Mineral Wells in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Mineral Wells during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 45°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mineral Wells
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mineral Wells Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 17 · Apr 6 · Apr 23 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 210 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 24 · Apr 14 | Oct 27 · Nov 10 · Nov 27 | 231 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 16 · Mar 9 · Apr 2 | Nov 4 · Nov 21 · Dec 7 | 256 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mineral Wells Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mineral Wells, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mineral Wells Airport (station USW00093985, elevation 930 ft), 3.1 mi from Mineral Wells. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mineral Wells
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weatherford, TX | 19 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 8 |
| Springtown, TX | 25 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Willow Park, TX | 25 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 8 |
| Aledo, TX | 29 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 8 |
| Azle, TX | 32 mi | Mar 13 | Nov 20 |
| Bridgeport, TX | 32 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 7 |
| Granbury, TX | 32 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 9 |
| Graham, TX | 35 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| White Settlement, TX | 36 mi | Mar 3 | Nov 27 |
| Benbrook, TX | 37 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 16 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mineral Wells?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mineral Wells is around March 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 3.
When is the first frost in Mineral Wells?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 27 and a 90% chance by November 27.
Can it frost in Mineral Wells after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 6.
What growing zone is Mineral Wells?
Mineral Wells is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 76067. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze