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Will it freeze in Paris in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Paris during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Paris
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Paris 2 SE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 4 · Apr 19 · May 4 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 1 | 184 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 23 · Apr 7 · Apr 22 | Oct 19 · Oct 31 · Nov 12 | 206 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 8 · Mar 28 · Apr 11 | Oct 30 · Nov 8 · Nov 27 | 228 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Paris 2 SE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Paris, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Paris 2 SE (station USC00406977, elevation 443 ft), 0.8 mi from Paris. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Paris
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| McKenzie, TN | 16 mi | Apr 2 | Oct 31 |
| Murray, KY | 22 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Martin, TN | 30 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 28 |
| Mayfield, KY | 36 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 19 |
| Milan, TN | 36 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 28 |
| Union City, TN | 42 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 29 |
| Medina, TN | 42 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 30 |
| Lexington, TN | 45 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Humboldt, TN | 47 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 30 |
| Jackson, TN | 53 mi | Apr 2 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Paris?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Paris is around April 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 23.
When is the first frost in Paris?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 19 and a 90% chance by November 12.
Can it frost in Paris after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 19.
What growing zone is Paris?
Paris is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38242. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze